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A Demographic Approach to Forecasting Health Insurance Benefit Costs
A Demographic Approach to Forecasting Health Insurance Benefit Costs This is a poster presentation about a study ... health benefit populations. Demographics;Health care costs; 14525 7/30/2009 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Hallie J Kintner, David A Swanson
- Date: Jul 2009
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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A Non-Traditional Actuarial Role
A Non-Traditional Actuarial Role Profile of an actuary in a non-traditional actuarial role: focusing on medical ... retrospective and prospective. Assumptions;Health care costs; 9547 5/1/2010 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Carolyn Young
- Date: May 2010
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Health Watch
- Topics: Actuarial Profession>Alternative careers; Health & Disability>Health information technology; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
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Corporate Models and Assumptions
However, the dis- tinction is helpful to define the primary emphasis for the development of each assumption ... contribute to policy loans. It was determined that two primary factors could be used to closely :reflect the amount ...- Authors: Allan Affleck, Robert A Lyle, Kihong Sung
- Date: Mar 1977
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Forecasting mortality in the presence of missing data: an application to Chinese population
Forecasting mortality in the presence of missing data: an application to Chinese population ... rates cannot be found in the public domain. The primary objective of this paper is to investigate how we ...- Authors: Ping An
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Demography>Mortality - Demography; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting
Economists are no different: judgment is “the primary factor that the economist uses in converting mere ... optimistic and one pessimistic scenario. The primary purpose of a scenario is to constrain judgmental ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Projections - How to Make Them and How to Use Them
crude illustration, it should be prepared with great care, and should be as far as possible realistic. The ... projection can be obtained if it is run without the direct use of the service tables and the benefit schedules ...- Authors: Robert F Link, Robert J Myers, A M Niessen, Dorrance C. Bronson, W Rulon Williamson, Herbert J. Stark
- Date: Nov 1950
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement
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Cox, Ingersoll and Ross Models of Interest Rates
complicated. If I work with this process, I don't care about the nature of this Brownian motion. This ... (Figure 14). I can prove the following theorem. Do we care about risk, about interest rate models, in the real ...- Authors: Peter Tilley, Wojciech Szatzschneider
- Date: May 2002
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
- Topics: Finance & Investments>Investments; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Claims Reserving when there are Negative Values in the Development Triangle
essentially the same. Also, in what follows we use direct Monte Carlo simulation as described in Appendix ... year is too cumbersome to derive. Hence we use direct simulation from the posterior distributions to ...- Authors: Enrique de Alba
- Date: Jan 2003
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Longevity Risk and Regular Discount Sequence
world, comparing to 1.34 in Japan. Traditionally, care of the elderly in Taiwan relies on family support ... systems, we need to handle the mortality forecast with care. For this reason, we want to build mortality models ...- Authors: Ching-Syang Jack Yue, HSIN-CHUNG WANG
- Date: Jan 2011
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Demography>Longevity; Global Perspectives; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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The Role of Conditional Probabilities in Risk Assessment
The Role of Conditional Probabilities in Risk Assessment 2011 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, ... introduces an unintended error into the process, and care needs to be exercised to be sure this error does ...- Authors: Richard Joss
- Date: Mar 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting